<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Drew’s Capital]]></title><description><![CDATA[A blend of global macro insights with a side of memes. Expect deep dives on equities, commodities, and the occasional FX detour. Hunting the best setups in global markets.]]></description><link>https://www.drewscapital.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Np1E!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F355fbeb8-d2d9-4638-930b-f82349932436_678x678.png</url><title>Drew’s Capital</title><link>https://www.drewscapital.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Sat, 04 Apr 2026 05:05:12 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.drewscapital.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Drew Capital]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[drewscapital@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[drewscapital@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Drews Capital]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Drews Capital]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[drewscapital@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[drewscapital@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Drews Capital]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[$VOYG | Voyager Technologies: The Quiet Giant Fueling the Next Space Race]]></title><description><![CDATA[From Palantir alliances to Air Force contracts, $VOYG is building a war chest in orbit, here&#8217;s why it could be the most under appreciated IPO of the year. 003]]></description><link>https://www.drewscapital.com/p/voyg-voyager-technologies-the-quiet</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.drewscapital.com/p/voyg-voyager-technologies-the-quiet</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Drews Capital]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 21 Jun 2025 21:14:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/648964e8-1f9d-4641-b7f9-aaf635e89764_1138x772.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Mission Brief: Voyager Technologies <span class="cashtag-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;symbol&quot;:&quot;$VOYG&quot;}" data-component-name="CashtagToDOM"></span>  Is Prepping for Liftoff</strong></p><p>When it comes to space, defense, and data fusion, most companies are either too slow, too niche, or too bureaucratic. Not Voyager. This newly public aerospace and defense firm is flying under the radar for now, but behind the scenes, it&#8217;s stacking some of the sharpest alliances and contracts in the sector.</p><p>Fresh off its June IPO, <strong>Voyager Technologies <span class="cashtag-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;symbol&quot;:&quot;$VOYG&quot;}" data-component-name="CashtagToDOM"></span> </strong> priced at $31 and spiked over $70 on day one before retreating into the low $40s. That cool-down offers more than just a second chance, it offers the kind of entry that would make <strong>Cathy Woods</strong> blush. The company raised $383 million in its offering.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Drew&#8217;s Capital! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Strategic Partnerships: This Is No Solo Mission</strong></p><p>Voyager&#8217;s partnership roster reads like a who's who of global tech and defense heavyweights.</p><p>Most notably, <strong>Palantir Technologies</strong> has deepened its alliance with Voyager. The two are co-developing advanced payload systems for military satellites, combining Palantir&#8217;s battlefield-proven AI software with Voyager&#8217;s proprietary signal-processing hardware. Their latest system integrates RF and imagery analysis with autonomous decision-making onboard satellites. Translation: real-time orbital intelligence.</p><p>And then there&#8217;s <strong>Starlab</strong>&#8230; Voyager&#8217;s joint venture with <strong>Airbus, Mitsubishi Corporation</strong>, and <strong>MDA Space</strong>. This isn&#8217;t science fiction. It&#8217;s the commercial successor to the International Space Station, and Palantir is locked in as Starlab&#8217;s exclusive data infrastructure provider. With NASA and the U.S. Space Force among its clientele, Voyager isn&#8217;t betting on the future of space&#8230; <strong>it&#8217;s building it.</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PPom!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbc81702-e4fd-40e1-b7b0-296b619436c0_2552x958.heic" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PPom!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbc81702-e4fd-40e1-b7b0-296b619436c0_2552x958.heic 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PPom!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbc81702-e4fd-40e1-b7b0-296b619436c0_2552x958.heic 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PPom!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbc81702-e4fd-40e1-b7b0-296b619436c0_2552x958.heic 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PPom!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbc81702-e4fd-40e1-b7b0-296b619436c0_2552x958.heic 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PPom!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbc81702-e4fd-40e1-b7b0-296b619436c0_2552x958.heic" width="1456" height="547" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PPom!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbc81702-e4fd-40e1-b7b0-296b619436c0_2552x958.heic 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PPom!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbc81702-e4fd-40e1-b7b0-296b619436c0_2552x958.heic 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PPom!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbc81702-e4fd-40e1-b7b0-296b619436c0_2552x958.heic 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PPom!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcbc81702-e4fd-40e1-b7b0-296b619436c0_2552x958.heic 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">StarLab</figcaption></figure></div><p></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Leadership with Gravitas</strong></p><p>You can tell a lot about a company by who&#8217;s steering the ship.</p><p>Voyager&#8217;s CEO <strong>Dylan Taylor</strong> isn&#8217;t just a suit, he&#8217;s a space tourist turned executive, having flown with Blue Origin. He&#8217;s one of the rare leaders who understands both the investor psyche and the engineering gruntwork behind orbital systems. The board includes retired General <strong>William Shelton</strong>, former Commander of the U.S. Air Force Space Command, and <strong>Marshall Smith</strong>, a former senior NASA systems engineer now heading Voyager&#8217;s space division. This is a team that knows how to navigate Washington&#8217;s alphabet soup and launch hardware that actually works.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!A08I!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!A08I!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!A08I!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!A08I!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!A08I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!A08I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic" width="1024" height="758" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:758,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:88281,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/heic&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/i/166486166?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!A08I!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!A08I!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!A08I!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!A08I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa1de4c49-ec67-47fe-887c-9ddd0311140e_1024x758.heic 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Bezos + Taylor</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Fundamentals: Early-Stage, Deep-Tech Growth</strong></p><p>Voyager is still early in its revenue journey, pulling in ~$148 million in the past year with a mix of defense contracts, space infrastructure services, and R&amp;D platforms. NASA alone accounts for a good chunk of its business. And with a few acquisitions under its belt since 2019, Voyager has quietly built a vertically integrated space- and defense-tech platform without the bloated cost structure of its legacy peers.</p><p>Yes, the company is still posting net losses (~$66 million last year), but that&#8217;s standard fare for deep-tech builders at this stage. What&#8217;s compelling is the roadmap: government demand is intensifying for space situational awareness, autonomy, and secure AI data flow, and Voyager sits right at the intersection.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Setup: Right Place, Right Sector, Right Time</strong></p><p>The IPO market is back, and the recent pops in names like <strong>Circle Internet Group Inc. (CRCL)</strong> and <strong>CoreWeave Inc. (CRWV)</strong> signal an appetite. Voyager, with its dual exposure to space and AI, is uniquely positioned. While its current valuation looks rich, that&#8217;s par for the course when you&#8217;re selling what Uncle Sam is urgently buying (just look at Palantir).</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/51dadcbf-73eb-4705-955f-b425f3d02d3a_2234x1768.png&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d9f88f74-74d3-47bf-a3bf-e7041b7bea8f_2234x1768.png&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/565354da-02db-4280-bd5f-5b9893a24360_1456x720.png&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>If Voyager secures even a fraction of the multi-billion-dollar pipeline emerging from DoD, Space Force, and NASA contracts, that valuation starts to look conservative. And let&#8217;s not forget the optionality in Starlab, if commercial space stations take off in the next decade, Voyager becomes the next-generation Lockheed Martin of orbit.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Final Word: A Mission Worth Taking</strong></p><p>Voyager isn&#8217;t a meme stock, and it&#8217;s not trying to be. But it is benefiting from the same scarcity squeeze that&#8217;s sending defense-tech IPOs vertical. More importantly, it&#8217;s backed by real contracts, real tech, and a leadership team with enough firepower that would make <strong>Bill Ackman</strong> beg for a seat at the table.</p><p>For investors looking to position ahead of the crowd, while everyone&#8217;s still stuck reading headlines about Palantir or Rocket Lab, Voyager offers a sharp, speculative play on the future of secure, autonomous, AI-enabled space defense.</p><p>All of this is without even mentioning the possibility of the Golden Dome.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Mbl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Mbl!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Mbl!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Mbl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Mbl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Mbl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic" width="974" height="1408" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1408,&quot;width&quot;:974,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:112932,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/heic&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/i/166486166?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Mbl!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Mbl!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Mbl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Mbl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd20007e7-c7e8-4bbf-be68-2104fe8f4286_974x1408.heic 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" 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The next leg higher might come with a launch window.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/p/voyg-voyager-technologies-the-quiet?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.drewscapital.com/p/voyg-voyager-technologies-the-quiet?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.drewscapital.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>See you next time. I&#8217;ll be out there, hunting for what&#8217;s next.</strong></p><p><strong>&#8211; Drew</strong></p><p><strong>Disclaimer: This post is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. This is a speculative trade, not a recommendation. Always do your own due diligence and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.</strong></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[$U | Unity at the Edge: Betting on AI, Spatial Computing & Digital Infrastructure]]></title><description><![CDATA[Why Unity&#8217;s Vector AI, enterprise traction, and Unity 6 upgrade position it for post-AI platform dominance... A much deeper dive]]></description><link>https://www.drewscapital.com/p/u-unity-at-the-edge-betting-on-ai</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.drewscapital.com/p/u-unity-at-the-edge-betting-on-ai</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Drews Capital]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 19 Jun 2025 02:02:53 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ed089d17-ca91-47d3-b138-14aaeb796658_1022x678.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Company Summary</h2><p>Unity Software Inc. <span class="cashtag-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;symbol&quot;:&quot;$U&quot;}" data-component-name="CashtagToDOM"></span>  is evolving from a dominant mobile game engine into a high-margin, cloud-native platform powering the next generation of real-time 3D (RT3D) applications. With significant traction in gaming, digital twins, and immersive enterprise workflows, Unity now sits at the intersection of AI-native monetization, industrial digitization, and spatial computing.</p><p>Recent operational discipline, narrowing GAAP losses, and a pivot toward platform-as-a-service (PaaS) economics suggest a compelling risk-reward skew. For investors looking to front-run secular trends across AR/VR, simulation infrastructure, and machine-learning optimization, Unity offers asymmetric long-term optionality.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Business Model Evolution</h2><p>Unity&#8217;s platform is now bifurcated into two core segments:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Create Solutions:</strong> Unity Editor, Unity 6, simulation environments, and enterprise-grade RT3D tooling.</p></li><li><p><strong>Grow Solutions:</strong> Unity Ads, Analytics, and the newly launched <strong>Vector AI</strong>, an in-house machine-learning monetization engine.</p></li></ul><p>With the launch of Unity 6 and early success of Vector, Unity is establishing itself as more than a gaming engine, it&#8217;s becoming the core infrastructure layer for interactive, real-time content.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Unity 6: The Next-Gen RT3D Platform</h2><p>Unity 6 represents the most significant upgrade to the company&#8217;s core engine in years. This release improves real-time rendering, supports the latest platforms (including XR), and introduces enterprise-grade features.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rFu_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rFu_!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rFu_!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rFu_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rFu_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rFu_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png" width="1456" height="747" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/de5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:747,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2978916,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/i/166282541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rFu_!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rFu_!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rFu_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rFu_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde5806e9-1b8b-4f19-8463-db7fc198b485_3024x1552.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3>Key Enhancements:</h3><ul><li><p><strong>Performance &amp; Graphics:</strong> Major improvements in rendering quality, lighting systems, and runtime performance, creating more immersive experiences across mobile, console, and XR.</p></li><li><p><strong>Cloud-Native Collaboration:</strong> Enhanced tooling for large-scale, team-based projects with deep integration into AWS and Azure.</p></li><li><p><strong>AI &amp; Simulation Ready:</strong> Built for digital twin environments, autonomous systems training, and real-time industrial simulations.</p></li><li><p><strong>Cross-Platform Deployment:</strong> Developers can build once and publish to mobile, PC, console, web, and XR&#8230; drastically improving time to market.</p></li></ul><p>Unity 6 adoption has gained momentum in both gaming and enterprise, confirming its role as a foundational layer for Unity&#8217;s high-margin PaaS transition.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Digital Twins: The Real-Time Mirror of Industry</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!csJd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!csJd!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!csJd!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!csJd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!csJd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!csJd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png" width="1456" height="543" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:543,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2175954,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/i/166282541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!csJd!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!csJd!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!csJd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!csJd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33e8bd62-70bc-42fa-8bdb-92d749f46cb9_2678x998.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Unity</figcaption></figure></div><h3>What Are Digital Twins?</h3><p>Digital twins are dynamic, virtual representations of physical systems, environments, or assets. These models are continuously updated via sensors, IoT data streams, and cloud integrations, allowing real-time simulation, monitoring, and prediction.</p><h3>Why It Matters:</h3><ul><li><p><strong>Predictive Maintenance:</strong> Detect and prevent system failures before they happen.</p></li><li><p><strong>Operational Optimization:</strong> Improve efficiency, throughput, and cost control.</p></li><li><p><strong>Immersive Training:</strong> Risk-free, high-fidelity simulation environments.</p></li><li><p><strong>Design &amp; Prototyping:</strong> Virtual testing prior to real-world deployment.</p></li></ul><h3>Unity&#8217;s Advantage:</h3><ul><li><p><strong>Real-Time 3D Engine:</strong> Scalable, photorealistic rendering.</p></li><li><p><strong>Cross-Vertical Reach:</strong> Active in automotive (BMW), AEC, manufacturing, and energy.</p></li><li><p><strong>Cloud Deployments:</strong> Unity integrates with AWS and Azure for enterprise-scale digital twin deployment.</p></li><li><p><strong>AI-Simulation Synergy:</strong> Unity 6 is tailored to AI-driven use cases, including robotics and system diagnostics.</p></li></ul><blockquote><p><em>Strategic Impact: Digital twins are a cornerstone of the post-AI infrastructure wave. Unity's role as a simulation-first platform makes it a key enabler of industrial digital transformation.</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2>Unity Vector: AI Monetization Reimagined</h2><h3>What is Vector?</h3><p>Vector is Unity&#8217;s next-gen AI-powered advertising and monetization platform. It replaces Audience Pinpointer with a self-learning system that adjusts campaigns in real-time to boost installs, retention, and ROI.</p><h3>Key Features:</h3><ul><li><p><strong>Behavioral Prediction:</strong> Tracks live in-app behavior to drive precision targeting.</p></li><li><p><strong>Automated Optimization:</strong> Learns and improves continuously, removing the need for manual adjustments.</p></li><li><p><strong>Transparent Reporting:</strong> Advertisers gain access to actionable, granular performance data.</p></li></ul><h3>Early Success:</h3><p>Voodoo and other major publishers reported improved ROAS and reduced user acquisition costs&#8230; signaling strong product-market fit.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;The early success of Unity Vector and continued strong demand for Unity 6 underscore our positioning as the leading integrated platform supporting developers across the full lifecycle of game development&#8221; &#8211; Matthew Bromberg, Unity CEO (Q1 2025)</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2>Enterprise Expansion: Unity Beyond Gaming</h2><p>Unity's adoption curve is accelerating across multiple enterprise sectors:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Automotive:</strong> BMW uses Unity for digital twin simulations, immersive design reviews, and production-line optimization.</p></li><li><p><strong>AEC:</strong> Architects and engineers simulate real-time building behavior and optimize design collaboratively.</p></li><li><p><strong>Healthcare:</strong> Hospitals use Unity to train surgeons, simulate procedures, and enhance patient education.</p></li></ul><p>Unity&#8217;s flexibility, developer-friendly tooling, and cloud delivery model have made it a backbone of enterprise simulation.'</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N55c!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N55c!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N55c!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N55c!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N55c!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N55c!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png" width="1456" height="813" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:813,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1798936,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/i/166282541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N55c!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N55c!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N55c!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N55c!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5392515d-9eff-47f4-bc14-f115c9e078bd_3024x1688.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Unity + BMW Partnership </figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>AR/VR Readiness &amp; Spatial Dominance</h2><p>Unity remains the dominant engine for building AR/VR experiences. As Apple Vision Pro, Meta Quest, and enterprise XR platforms scale, Unity&#8217;s embedded presence ensures it captures value across:</p><ul><li><p>AR-powered product demos</p></li><li><p>Virtual collaboration and training</p></li><li><p>Immersive prototyping</p></li><li><p>Mixed-reality digital twins</p></li></ul><p>Hardware is catching up to software. Unity is already the default creative engine.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Indie Developer Moat</h2><p>Unity powers nearly 50% of global mobile games, particularly among indie developers. This base provides a sticky, recurring-revenue foundation.</p><p>Why they stay:</p><ul><li><p>Lower development barriers</p></li><li><p>Strong asset store and community support</p></li><li><p>Cross-platform ease</p></li></ul><p>The developer flywheel is alive and well&#8230; and still spinning.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Market Opportunity - TAM</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!O4WN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!O4WN!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!O4WN!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!O4WN!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!O4WN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!O4WN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png" width="1456" height="967" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:967,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:3417726,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/i/166287633?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!O4WN!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!O4WN!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!O4WN!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!O4WN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd8e89c65-d142-4549-bbac-befa8cb5fd9c_2160x1434.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Unity TAM | @drewscapital</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>Financial Snapshot (Q1 2025)</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nw3z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99b2f29f-8004-40e4-a3f3-3b83ef7642e6_2244x1454.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nw3z!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99b2f29f-8004-40e4-a3f3-3b83ef7642e6_2244x1454.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nw3z!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99b2f29f-8004-40e4-a3f3-3b83ef7642e6_2244x1454.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nw3z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99b2f29f-8004-40e4-a3f3-3b83ef7642e6_2244x1454.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nw3z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99b2f29f-8004-40e4-a3f3-3b83ef7642e6_2244x1454.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nw3z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99b2f29f-8004-40e4-a3f3-3b83ef7642e6_2244x1454.png" width="1456" height="943" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/99b2f29f-8004-40e4-a3f3-3b83ef7642e6_2244x1454.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:943,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:3885750,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/i/166282541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F768b4742-f614-41a3-955d-f77325d57da0_2244x1454.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nw3z!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99b2f29f-8004-40e4-a3f3-3b83ef7642e6_2244x1454.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nw3z!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99b2f29f-8004-40e4-a3f3-3b83ef7642e6_2244x1454.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nw3z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99b2f29f-8004-40e4-a3f3-3b83ef7642e6_2244x1454.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nw3z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99b2f29f-8004-40e4-a3f3-3b83ef7642e6_2244x1454.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">First Quarter 2025 Results | @drewscapital</figcaption></figure></div><blockquote><ul><li><p><strong>Net loss margin improved from (63%) to (18%) YoY.</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Positive free cash flow</strong> indicates better capital efficiency.</p></li><li><p><strong>Q2 2025 Guidance:</strong> Revenue $415&#8211;$425M; Adjusted EBITDA $70&#8211;$75M.</p></li></ul></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2>Key Financials (Q1 2025)</h2><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4340b443-a64a-49b2-a05e-35443b335187_1220x1322.png&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/06ff9f3f-a520-45f0-b4a1-4ff32a0191ac_1182x1268.png&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e20cd5bf-89f7-4912-a2cf-c77813520d82_1206x1120.png&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8c1d305e-e95a-4427-b71a-7aa56289f7cc_1456x474.png&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p></p><div><hr></div><h2>Investment Thesis</h2><p>Unity represents a high-beta vehicle for capturing upside in digital transformation. With a cleaned-up cost base, a broadened market beyond gaming, and clear product-market fit across AI-driven monetization and digital infrastructure, Unity is positioned for a long-duration rerating.</p><p>The engine is running leaner. The products are more differentiated. The market is expanding.</p><p>Investors aren&#8217;t just buying a game engine, they&#8217;re underwriting the infrastructure layer for real-time, AI-native, immersive applications.</p><div><hr></div><h2>TLDR</h2><p>Unity is no longer just a game engine. It&#8217;s transforming into a high-margin platform powering AI-driven ads (Vector), real-time 3D industrial simulations (Unity 6), and immersive enterprise experiences (digital twins, AR/VR). With improving financials, growing enterprise adoption (BMW), and platform-wide stickiness, Unity is laying the groundwork to be the infrastructure layer of the spatial computing era.</p><p>I&#8217;ll leave you with these memes</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xGXf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xGXf!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xGXf!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xGXf!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xGXf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xGXf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png" width="1456" height="1026" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1026,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2636833,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/i/166287633?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xGXf!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xGXf!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xGXf!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xGXf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed45442e-044e-4958-9923-fdab3c05c518_1578x1112.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B9iV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3bdf13ec-7f23-42a2-b87b-55431e004d2b_964x349.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B9iV!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3bdf13ec-7f23-42a2-b87b-55431e004d2b_964x349.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B9iV!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3bdf13ec-7f23-42a2-b87b-55431e004d2b_964x349.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B9iV!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3bdf13ec-7f23-42a2-b87b-55431e004d2b_964x349.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B9iV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3bdf13ec-7f23-42a2-b87b-55431e004d2b_964x349.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B9iV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3bdf13ec-7f23-42a2-b87b-55431e004d2b_964x349.png" width="964" height="349" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B9iV!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3bdf13ec-7f23-42a2-b87b-55431e004d2b_964x349.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B9iV!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3bdf13ec-7f23-42a2-b87b-55431e004d2b_964x349.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B9iV!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3bdf13ec-7f23-42a2-b87b-55431e004d2b_964x349.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!B9iV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3bdf13ec-7f23-42a2-b87b-55431e004d2b_964x349.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>Here&#8217;s a link to my earlier, more entertaining Unity write-up&#8230; packed with memes, loaded with speculation, and featuring a trade setup:</p><div class="digest-post-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;nodeId&quot;:&quot;8497b312-c1f0-4334-b3fe-3725c4a08b90&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;Let&#8217;s talk about Unity Software&quot;,&quot;cta&quot;:&quot;Read full story&quot;,&quot;showBylines&quot;:true,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;lg&quot;,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Unity&#8217;s Next Level Might Be Loading&#8230;&quot;,&quot;publishedBylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:258030941,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Drews Capital&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;A blend of global macro insights with a side of memes. Expect deep dives on equities, commodities, and the occasional FX detour. Breakdowns of market conditions and headlines. Hunting for the best setups in the market.&quot;,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0213f1a7-7d0c-4047-806f-64ab444e20f1_678x678.jpeg&quot;,&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:null}],&quot;post_date&quot;:&quot;2025-06-17T00:15:50.962Z&quot;,&quot;cover_image&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a0ab58be-d94d-49e3-83df-3f345ce867a2_1206x1552.jpeg&quot;,&quot;cover_image_alt&quot;:null,&quot;canonical_url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/p/unitys-next-level-might-be-loading&quot;,&quot;section_name&quot;:null,&quot;video_upload_id&quot;:null,&quot;id&quot;:166108372,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;reaction_count&quot;:2,&quot;comment_count&quot;:0,&quot;publication_id&quot;:null,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Drew&#8217;s Capital&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F355fbeb8-d2d9-4638-930b-f82349932436_678x678.png&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;youtube_url&quot;:null,&quot;show_links&quot;:null,&quot;feed_url&quot;:null}"></div><div><hr></div><p><strong>See you next time. I&#8217;ll be out there, hunting for what&#8217;s next.</strong></p><p><strong>- Drew</strong></p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/p/u-unity-at-the-edge-betting-on-ai?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.drewscapital.com/p/u-unity-at-the-edge-betting-on-ai?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Drew&#8217;s Capital! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p><strong>Disclaimer: This post is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. This is a speculative trade, not a recommendation. Always do your own due diligence and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.</strong></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Unity’s Next Level Might Be Loading…]]></title><description><![CDATA[A speculative setup, $32M in calls, and a platform that might just be waking up, 002]]></description><link>https://www.drewscapital.com/p/unitys-next-level-might-be-loading</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.drewscapital.com/p/unitys-next-level-might-be-loading</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Drews Capital]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 17 Jun 2025 00:15:50 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a0ab58be-d94d-49e3-83df-3f345ce867a2_1206x1552.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let&#8217;s talk about <strong>Unity Software <span class="cashtag-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;symbol&quot;:&quot;$U&quot;}" data-component-name="CashtagToDOM"></span>  </strong></p><p>Earlier today, I posted a chart on Twitter saying I got long Unity. While the world argues about rate cuts, Nvidia valuations, and whether AI can replace their therapist, I&#8217;ve been quietly watching a different story unfold.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Drew&#8217;s Capital! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p><p>Unity&#8217;s shaping up to be one of those trades where the chart is just the appetizer. The real meal is what&#8217;s happening behind the scenes.</p><p>Here&#8217;s the setup: Unity cleaned up its act, landed a blue-chip enterprise deal, started building like it actually means it, and, most interestingly, someone with deep pockets might already be placing their bet.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!trNS!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!trNS!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!trNS!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!trNS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!trNS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!trNS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png" width="1456" height="1152" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1152,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:289197,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/166108372?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!trNS!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!trNS!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!trNS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!trNS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F354696ea-e45c-4b32-9914-d3bcecddbd8a_2234x1768.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>Here&#8217;s why I think Unity is setting up for a bullish breakout, both on the chart and in the story arc.</p><div><hr></div><h3>From Game Engine to Global Engine</h3><p>Unity isn&#8217;t just a game engine anymore. It&#8217;s a much bigger generator. Nearly half the world&#8217;s mobile games run on it. AR/VR? Check.</p><p>But this platform is breaking out of its old category. Automotive companies are using it for simulations. Architects are designing walk-throughs. Hollywood has already dabbled. At this point, Unity&#8217;s TAM is no longer a &#8220;Total Addressable Market.&#8221; It&#8217;s a Total Anything Market.</p><p>And speaking of cars...</p><div><hr></div><h3>BMW Just Went Full Unity</h3><p><strong>BMW Group</strong> just tapped Unity to power its next-gen 3D asset management system <em>3D Mine</em>. This is a cloud-based pipeline handling everything from concept car design to campaign rollouts.</p><p>It&#8217;s not PR fluff. BMW is using Unity to fix real enterprise problems: version control chaos, fragmented asset workflows, inefficient cross-team handoffs. Unity&#8217;s Asset Manager gives them one secure, scalable hub to build from.</p><p>This deal is a validator.</p><div><hr></div><h3>Let&#8217;s talk about <strong>Vector AI</strong> &#8212; Unity&#8217;s direct answer to AppLovin&#8217;s Axon.</h3><p>AppLovin had the head start. But Unity&#8217;s playing a different game. It&#8217;s not just monetizing mobile games, it&#8217;s building them. That means Unity has a massive edge with first-party behavioral data baked into its platform. Session lengths, rage quits, in-game behavior, churn signals&#8230; it sees it all.</p><p>So Unity rebuilt its ad platform from scratch. <strong>Vector AI</strong> launched three months ahead of schedule and is now running across all iOS and Android traffic.</p><p>What makes it different?</p><ul><li><p>It learns from real-time in-app behavior</p></li><li><p>Filters out anomalies before they pollute the model</p></li><li><p>Optimizes for installs, IAPs, retention</p></li><li><p>Prioritizes stable trends over noisy spikes</p></li></ul><p>Early results look promising. <strong>Voodoo</strong> (BeReal parent) reported better ROAS and higher user quality without jacking up ad spend.</p><p>And unlike most AI platforms, Vector actually offers transparent reporting. You can see why your campaign is working, not just that it is.</p><p>This isn&#8217;t just a rebrand. Unity&#8217;s going head-to-head with AppLovin and flexing a stronger data backbone to do it.</p><div><hr></div><h3>The Activist or The Kitty</h3><p>Now we step into the Dark Arts: <strong>Option Flow</strong>.</p><p>Oftentimes, before an activist stake is announced, we see heavy option flow start to build in a name, concentrated on a specific strike and expiration. In Unity&#8217;s case, we&#8217;ve seen a notable surge in call buying over the past month.</p><p>Doing some quick math</p><p>Over the past month:</p><ul><li><p>~<strong>79,300 calls</strong> were bought</p></li><li><p>Strike: <strong>$30</strong></p></li><li><p>Expiration: <strong>January 16, 2026</strong></p></li><li><p>Average premium: ~$4.03</p></li><li><p>Total premium: &#8776; <strong>$32M</strong></p></li><li><p>Notional value: &#8776; <strong>$238M</strong> (~2% of the company)</p></li></ul><p>.</p><p>Now let&#8217;s get into the Speculation of the Kitty:</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m1T3!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m1T3!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m1T3!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m1T3!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m1T3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m1T3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png" width="1456" height="1015" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1015,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1521550,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/166108372?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m1T3!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m1T3!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m1T3!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m1T3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9f6735f-cd91-49df-b654-56269b8ab706_1914x1334.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The image on the left is the original <em>Time</em> Magazine cover with &#8220;You&#8221; in the center. On the right is what <strong>Roaring Kitty</strong> posted to Twitter on December 5, 2024, the same cover, but with the &#8220;You&#8221; removed.</p><p>He followed it up with a GIF of Dave Chappelle as Rick James singing <em>&#8220;Give It To Me Baby,&#8221;</em> complete with the line: <em>&#8220;Wait 'til I squeeze you.&#8221;</em>&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q1my!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q1my!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q1my!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q1my!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q1my!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q1my!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png" width="1190" height="1014" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1014,&quot;width&quot;:1190,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:787208,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/166108372?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q1my!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q1my!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q1my!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q1my!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1c389c4f-db66-402e-9fda-f6eb05904b82_1190x1014.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>After watching GameStop get diluted into oblivion, it wouldn&#8217;t be a surprise if he&#8217;s looking for a new playground. And based on his past options positioning, he&#8217;s got the bankroll.</p><p>Maybe it&#8217;s him. Maybe it&#8217;s not. But someone is putting $40M on the table and saying, &#8220;Let&#8217;s see what happens.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5bkz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5bkz!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5bkz!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5bkz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5bkz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5bkz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png" width="976" height="650" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:650,&quot;width&quot;:976,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1036293,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/166108372?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5bkz!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5bkz!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5bkz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5bkz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bb5a96d-025c-49dd-ae12-24b7ada868a6_976x650.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><div><hr></div><h3>The Trade</h3><p>We don&#8217;t need $40 million to follow the flow. Here&#8217;s how I&#8217;m planning on playing it:</p><blockquote><p><strong>The Setup</strong></p></blockquote><ul><li><p><strong>Buy</strong>: Jan 16, 2026 $30 Calls (~$3.45) ~120bps</p></li><li><p><strong>Potentially Selling</strong>: Jan 16, 2026 $20 Puts (~$2.45)</p></li><li><p><strong>Net Cost</strong>: ~$1.00</p></li></ul><p>Simple. Your upside is wide open. Your downside is being long Unity at $20, which I don&#8217;t mind.</p><p>You could just buy shares outright. But I prefer this structure. It&#8217;s cleaner, defined, and more capital-efficient.</p><p></p><div><hr></div><h3>Final Word</h3><p>Unity isn&#8217;t just a hype trade. It&#8217;s a well-structured speculative setup.</p><p>You&#8217;ve got:<br>A real AI platform that&#8217;s performing<br> Strong cost discipline<br>Enterprise validation via BMW<br>Mysterious, high-conviction call buying<br>And a chart that&#8217;s waking up</p><p>It&#8217;s still early. Still ignored. And that&#8217;s where the edge usually lives.</p><p>I&#8217;m not saying this thing rockets.<br>But if it does, I&#8217;m already in the seat.</p><p>As always, see you next time. I&#8217;ll be out there, hunting for what&#8217;s next.</p><p>&#8212; <strong>Drew</strong></p><div><hr></div><p><em><strong>Disclaimer: This post is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. This is a speculative trade, not a recommendation. Always do your own due diligence and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.</strong></em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Drew&#8217;s Capital! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/p/unitys-next-level-might-be-loading/comments&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Leave a comment&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.drewscapital.com/p/unitys-next-level-might-be-loading/comments"><span>Leave a comment</span></a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Strait Risk, Oil Spike, and the OXY Setup: 001]]></title><description><![CDATA[Geopolitics, Breakouts, and a Buffett Discount]]></description><link>https://www.drewscapital.com/p/strait-risk-oil-spike-and-the-oxy</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.drewscapital.com/p/strait-risk-oil-spike-and-the-oxy</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Drews Capital]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 15 Jun 2025 02:55:59 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a2874bce-6827-4b0d-99ef-8f635875e537_1610x1112.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome to my first Substack post. Let&#8217;s get right into it.</p><p>On Thursday, Israel launched an attack on Iran. The initial market reaction was swift, S&amp;P 500 futures dropped nearly 2% overnight, but just as quickly shrugged it off. By Friday&#8217;s close, we were back up ~1% from those lows.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vBke!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vBke!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vBke!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vBke!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vBke!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vBke!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png" width="1456" height="1152" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1152,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:351531,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/165974537?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vBke!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vBke!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vBke!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vBke!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe269a2f7-1b76-473f-8446-02488fb763d7_2234x1768.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The S&amp;P is sitting right above its 21-day moving average. Keep an eye on that green line next week, a daily close below it would warrant a more risk-off stance in equities. We&#8217;re still 88 points below the February high and about 25% off the April 7th lows.</p><p>If you&#8217;re running light on hedges and we open flat or green, it&#8217;s worth considering some Summer Hedges (downside protection),  just in case we get hit with <em>SUMMERTIME MADNESS</em>. One clean setup to hedge:</p><ul><li><p><strong>5800/5400 put spread on SPX (8/15 expiry), closed Friday at 55.90</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>SPY equivalent: 580/540 put spread, closed at 5.92</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPUm!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f6b9c90-22c1-4654-85be-42c448561ed8_974x734.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPUm!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f6b9c90-22c1-4654-85be-42c448561ed8_974x734.png 424w, 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPUm!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f6b9c90-22c1-4654-85be-42c448561ed8_974x734.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPUm!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f6b9c90-22c1-4654-85be-42c448561ed8_974x734.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPUm!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f6b9c90-22c1-4654-85be-42c448561ed8_974x734.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPUm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f6b9c90-22c1-4654-85be-42c448561ed8_974x734.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h3>Now, let&#8217;s talk oil.</h3><p>Here&#8217;s the move in context:</p><p></p><p>According to Deutsche Bank via Bloomberg, Thursday/Friday&#8217;s jump was one of the <strong>top 20 largest two-day moves in oil</strong>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0h5u!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0h5u!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0h5u!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0h5u!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0h5u!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0h5u!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png" width="1456" height="932" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/da73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:932,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1220708,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/165974537?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0h5u!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0h5u!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0h5u!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0h5u!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda73dcbd-681c-4078-83f9-0e2cf404b3bd_1938x1240.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Deutsche Bank|Bloomberg</figcaption></figure></div><p><br>Momentum&#8217;s picking up. Societe Generale&#8217;s Cross Asset Momentum Indicator is flashing similar levels to July 2023. Back then, oil ripped <strong>33% from the low $70s to $95</strong> over two months.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rL3I!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rL3I!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rL3I!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rL3I!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rL3I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rL3I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png" width="1456" height="878" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:878,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:448016,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/165974537?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rL3I!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rL3I!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rL3I!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rL3I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff777d196-a21a-493f-afb9-a769b36f76ff_2034x1226.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Societe Generale|Bloomberg</figcaption></figure></div><p></p><p>Geopolitically, the Strait of Hormuz is back in focus. That sliver of water moves <strong>39% of global seaborne crude volume</strong>, and it&#8217;s one of the most critical chokepoints in the world. Reuters flagged how Iran may be preparing to <strong>&#8220;choke off&#8221; </strong>the Strait, or at least rattle the saber. Even the <em>threat</em> of that is bullish for crude.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2Jzg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2Jzg!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2Jzg!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2Jzg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2Jzg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2Jzg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png" width="1456" height="874" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:874,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:397879,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/165974537?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2Jzg!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2Jzg!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2Jzg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2Jzg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe56de5db-4e07-4cf0-b593-b23ae6c6d527_2030x1218.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Clarksons Research|Bloomberg</figcaption></figure></div><p></p><p>Over on Polymarket, odds of a wider conflict hit 64% intraday and settled around 40%.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tty!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tty!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tty!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tty!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tty!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tty!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png" width="1456" height="766" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:766,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:189480,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/165974537?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tty!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tty!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tty!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4tty!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F61c82ac8-57f2-4e4a-8b69-b1be9dc0f3c4_1902x1000.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Polymarket</figcaption></figure></div><p></p><div><hr></div><h3>The Trade: OXY</h3><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aM1o!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aM1o!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aM1o!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aM1o!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aM1o!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aM1o!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png" width="1456" height="1152" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1152,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:384512,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/165974537?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aM1o!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aM1o!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aM1o!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aM1o!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09f6f523-5221-4358-a89f-e7e49ba65d30_2234x1768.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>I flagged this chart in real time, during market hours, on Friday via Twitter (X). OXY on the <strong>weekly breakout</strong>, sitting cleanly above its 21-day.</p><p>Here&#8217;s how to play it:</p><p><strong>Structure A:</strong></p><ul><li><p>Long stock outright.</p></li></ul><p><strong>Structure B (preferred):</strong></p><p>Long <strong>$50C Jan 16, 2026</strong> @ 3.60, Short <strong>$40P Jan 16, 2026</strong> @ 2.05 = <strong>Net cost: 1.55</strong></p><p>This gives you leveraged upside and a defined cushion. If you&#8217;re assigned on the short puts, you own OXY at $40, a level Berkshire could only dream of.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!em-S!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!em-S!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!em-S!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!em-S!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!em-S!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!em-S!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png" width="976" height="948" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:948,&quot;width&quot;:976,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:860463,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/165974537?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!em-S!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!em-S!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!em-S!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!em-S!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a69b3de-45fa-4076-87e9-f9c46f6aa996_976x948.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>Speaking of Berkshire, they own <strong>~28% of OXY</strong> with an average cost around <strong>$54</strong>. Current price is still ~15% below that.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LORw!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LORw!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LORw!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LORw!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LORw!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LORw!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png" width="1456" height="339" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:339,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:85680,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/165974537?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LORw!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LORw!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LORw!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LORw!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe12c618b-10d2-417e-93b0-07329764bd08_1694x394.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><div><hr></div><h3>Fundamentals Are Improving</h3><p>CEO Vicki Hollub put it plainly:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;Over the past 10 months we've repaid a total of $6.8 billion, reducing annual interest expense by $370 million&#8230; All 2025 maturities have been retired, providing us with a more comfortable runway over the next 14 months.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>Cleaner balance sheet. Impoved debt.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5hlh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5hlh!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5hlh!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5hlh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5hlh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5hlh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png" width="974" height="1356" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1356,&quot;width&quot;:974,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2103689,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://drewscapital.substack.com/i/165974537?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5hlh!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5hlh!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5hlh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5hlh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd08fdeeb-ae07-4a14-a3ff-72f803050bd7_974x1356.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>A few more data points on OXY&#8230;</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/36d4122e-a6f7-4588-a4e1-81e91a73f14b_1880x1172.png&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4ecbd3a5-985d-49ff-8192-cd8e9d114172_2918x1638.png&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/69b09fb1-0b50-4547-91c3-b489ef198e48_2920x1638.png&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/aac460f1-10c6-434f-b8c4-78ea24ba4612_2928x1648.png&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4d6008e7-7902-4c62-9373-75dd80d2ff99_1456x1456.png&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p></p><div><hr></div><p>More to come soon. We&#8217;re always hunting.<br>Until then, stay sharp.</p><p>Like + Retweet if you enjoyed. </p><p>Subscribe for More.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.drewscapital.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p>&#8212;Drew</p><div><hr></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/p/strait-risk-oil-spike-and-the-oxy/comments&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Leave a comment&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.drewscapital.com/p/strait-risk-oil-spike-and-the-oxy/comments"><span>Leave a comment</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Coming soon]]></title><description><![CDATA[This is Drew&#8217;s Capital.]]></description><link>https://www.drewscapital.com/p/coming-soon</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.drewscapital.com/p/coming-soon</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Drews Capital]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 08 Aug 2024 01:10:19 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Np1E!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F355fbeb8-d2d9-4638-930b-f82349932436_678x678.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is Drew&#8217;s Capital.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.drewscapital.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.drewscapital.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>